Here’s a good real estate investing tip. Sales trends and rental trends are leading indicators of rising or falling investment property prices.
It would be a good idea, therefore, to create a system for tracking and recording trend data such as the number of listings, new housing starts, selling prices, time on market, rent levels, and vacancy rates when you begin real estate investing.
You might be surprised. As you watch these sales and rental trends, you will be able to detect market changes as they occur and might make a profitable short-term gain.
Sales Trends
Watch for the time properties are sitting on the market. In slow markets, properties can sit unsold for months, and the result could mean price decreases. Likewise, as the average time on the market falls, say, from 270 days to 180 days to 120 days, prices are about to go up.
Watch for the number of properties for sale. Real estate prices result from supply and demand. As the number of “for sale” properties increases, thereby inventory increases, and the result could mean sellers lower their prices to attract buyers. Similarly, a minimal number of “for sale” properties signal a lesser inventory and points the way to what could be rapid advances in property prices.
Rental Market Trends
Watch for and review these four important rental market trends for the past 12 to 24 months:
Okay, now ask yourself. Are vacancy rates falling or increasing? How long does it take to fill vacant apartments or rental houses? What types of units rent the quickest, i.e., one or two bedrooms, one or two baths, with or without covered parking or community center? How do vacancy rates differ among various neighborhoods and communities? Do some types of buildings or units enjoy waiting lists? If so, what are their features and locations?
What about rents, are rents steady or increasing? What about rent concessions, are property owners giving concessions to attract tenants, and if so, what are they giving away?
Watch for foreclosures in your area. Homeowners who lose their homes become renters, in turn causing a shortage of apartment units that results in increased rents; thus, higher property prices.
What about interest rates, bear in mind that low interest rates means that many tenants who are one pay check away from buying a home vacate the rentals, and vice versa. Of course, in our current economy, with lenders tightening their loan qualifications, this rise and fall in interest rates might be less telling. Nonetheless, interest rates should be monitored.
It’s all just a barometer. But it’s a smart real estate investing procedure to watch and record real estate sales and rental trends as an indicator or rental property prices. Whether you’re a rental property investor or current owner, understanding how sales and rental trends affect property prices and positioning yourself to react quickly can mean you score big.
Here’s to your real estate investing success.